Analysis of differing site condition litigation reasoning through statistical modeling

Mahfouz, T; Davlyatov, S and Kandil, A (2016) Analysis of differing site condition litigation reasoning through statistical modeling. International Journal of Construction Education and Research, 12(4), pp. 285-302. ISSN 1557-8771

Abstract

Differing Site Conditions (DSC) is considered to be one of the most prominent reasons for claims within the construction industry. Thus, the purpose of this article is to facilitate decision making related to DSC claims through analysis of the judicial reasoning in such cases by identifying significant legal concepts and implementing statistical modeling. The implemented methodology utilizes 60 DSC cases from the Federal Court of New York, extracts legal concepts upon which verdicts are based through content analysis, and develops a binary choice probit regression model to identify (1) the effect of each concept, (2) the associations and precedence of concepts to each other, and (3) the probabilistic change due to parametric variation in these concepts. The findings provide better means of assessing the legal ramifications based on the identified factors. Such evaluation allows disputing parties to make more informed decision about their dispute resolution strategies. In addition, the current research provides knowledge to contractors about factors to which emphasis should be given while bidding for new projects and upon which control should be maintained while performing a project. Finally, this research creates a solid foundation for the development of robust construction legal decision support systems for DSC disputes.;Differing Site Conditions (DSC) is considered to be one of the most prominent reasons for claims within the construction industry. Thus, the purpose of this article is to facilitate decision making related to DSC claims through analysis of the judicial reasoning in such cases by identifying significant legal concepts and implementing statistical modeling. The implemented methodology utilizes 60 DSC cases from the Federal Court of New York, extracts legal concepts upon which verdicts are based through content analysis, and develops a binary choice probit regression model to identify (1) the effect of each concept, (2) the associations and precedence of concepts to each other, and (3) the probabilistic change due to parametric variation in these concepts. The findings provide better means of assessing the legal ramifications based on the identified factors. Such evaluation allows disputing parties to make more informed decision about their dispute resolution strategies. In addition, the current research provides knowledge to contractors about factors to which emphasis should be given while bidding for new projects and upon which control should be maintained while performing a project. Finally, this research creates a solid foundation for the development of robust construction legal decision support systems for DSC disputes.;

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: statistical modeling; litigation; contracts; differing site condition; construction law; statistical methods; simulation; decision making; construction contracts
Index terms: construction law, litigation, dispute, regression model, resolution, construction industry, construction contract, statistical method, New York, content analysis, strategy, decision support, reasoning, bidding, statistical modelling, methodology, decision-making, variation
Subjects: bidding, data analysis and analytics, dispute resolution, contract type, construction law, industry analysis, statistical analysis, conflict resolution, cognitive psychology, decision analysis, contractual condition, Geography, management, research methods
Topics: Risk Management, Stakeholder Management, Procurement, Business Strategy, Research Practice, Geographical Context, Contract Administration, Legal Issues
Descriptive scope: 4 PCTA

N.B. Descriptive scope is a count of how many of the five facets of empirical research are indicated by the words used in title, abstract and keywords. It is not intended as a judgement on the research; merely a count of the kind of word we would expect to indicate Phenomenon, Concepts, Theoretical framing, Empirical techniques, Analytical techniques. If all five are present, then a code of “5 PCTEA” will indicate this. If you feel the coding for this record is questionable, we welcome discussion around the terms we matched or the way we categorized them. The facet you would expect may not be coded, or a facet may be coded inappropriately. This can also bear on a larger question, of which facets should be treated as defining in construction management research. Please get in touch, and we will look at it. More details here