A fuzzy synthetic evaluation analysis of time overrun risk factors in highway projects of terrorism-affected countries: The case of Pakistan

Zafar, I; Wuni, I Y; Shen, G Q P; Ahmed, S and Yousaf, T (2022) A fuzzy synthetic evaluation analysis of time overrun risk factors in highway projects of terrorism-affected countries: The case of Pakistan. International Journal of Construction Management, 22(4), pp. 732-750. ISSN 1562-3599

Abstract

Time overrun has detrimental effects on the performance of construction projects, especially highway projects which are associated with higher capital investment, complex stakeholder profile and longer construction duration. The effects are multiplied in terrorism-affected countries (TACs). However, there are limited studies on the time overrun risk factors (TRFs) in highway projects in the TACs. Consequently, this article examined TRFs in highway projects in the FATA region, a severe terrorism-affected province in Pakistan using a questionnaire survey. A fuzzy synthetic evaluation (FSE) modelling of the TRFs showed that stakeholder interference and insecurity threats is the most critical factor grouping, followed by inexperienced contractors and unproductive workforce, ineffective project planning and contractual arrangement, and construction materials shortages and force majeure. These critical TRFs are important to practitioners and international construction companies because risks abound in highway projects in TACs and require prioritization. Thus, the critical TRFs could be used to develop a decision support system for managing the risks and improving the performance of highway projects in TACs.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: fuzzy synthetic evaluation; highway projects; terrorism-affected countries; time overrun risk factors
Index terms: modelling, duration, highway construction, construction material, risk factor, international construction, terrorism, critical factor, force majeure, time overrun, shortages, project planning, construction project, Pakistan, practitioner, questionnaire, survey, capital investment, fuzzy synthetic evaluation, decision support
Subjects: civil engineering, terrorism studies, Geography, production management, decision analysis, project controls, environmental hazards, decision-making and optimization, strategic management, risk assessment, data collection methods, practitioner, control systems, mitigation, building materials, economic analysis, analytical methods
Topics: Time Control, Contract Administration, Urban Studies, International Construction, Roles and Professions, Risk Management, Sustainability, Business Strategy, Engineering Principles, Geographical Context, Project Management, Research Practice
Descriptive scope: 4 PCEA

N.B. Descriptive scope is a count of how many of the five facets of empirical research are indicated by the words used in title, abstract and keywords. It is not intended as a judgement on the research; merely a count of the kind of word we would expect to indicate Phenomenon, Concepts, Theoretical framing, Empirical techniques, Analytical techniques. If all five are present, then a code of “5 PCTEA” will indicate this. If you feel the coding for this record is questionable, we welcome discussion around the terms we matched or the way we categorized them. The facet you would expect may not be coded, or a facet may be coded inappropriately. This can also bear on a larger question, of which facets should be treated as defining in construction management research. Please get in touch, and we will look at it. More details here