Fuzzy synthetic evaluation of moral hazard and adverse selection of public private partnership projects

Owusu-Manu, D G; Kukah, A S K; Edwards, D J and Ameyaw, E E (2023) Fuzzy synthetic evaluation of moral hazard and adverse selection of public private partnership projects. International Journal of Construction Management, 23(11), pp. 1805-1814. ISSN 1562-3599

Abstract

Moral hazards and adverse selection (MHAS) lead to failure in public-private partnership (PPP) projects and delay in delivery outputs' requirements. This research developed a fuzzy synthetic evaluation model (FSEM) to measure cause and effect level of MHAS of PPP construction projects. Mean score ranking and principal component factor analysis (PCFA) evaluated the causal factors. FSEM calculated overall cause and effect (OCE) level. PCFA analysis yielded three components: party and risk factors, incentives and contractual obligations and contract and project conditions while FSEM determined the OCE level to be 3.92. Party and risk factors; incentives and contractual obligations; contract and project conditions had cause and effect levels of 3.99, 3.99 and 3.79. Findings will enhance knowledge on MHAS risk levels of PPP construction projects thereby prompting project stakeholders to reduce the risks. Further research recommends using computer-based systems to minimize complexities and human errors during manual computation of fuzzy analysis.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: adverse selection; construction projects; fuzzy synthetic evaluation model; moral hazard; public-private-partnership
Index terms: moral hazard, fuzzy synthetic evaluation, complexity, construction project, project stakeholder, computation, partnership, public private partnership, factor analysis, risk factor, adverse selection
Subjects: computational methods, contractual arrangements, production management, financial risk, partnership management, sociology, decision-making and optimization, systems engineering, statistical analysis, environmental hazards
Topics: Digital Applications, Stakeholder Management, Sustainability, Procurement, Cost Management, Engineering Principles, Project Management, Research Practice
Descriptive scope: 3 PCA

N.B. Descriptive scope is a count of how many of the five facets of empirical research are indicated by the words used in title, abstract and keywords. It is not intended as a judgement on the research; merely a count of the kind of word we would expect to indicate Phenomenon, Concepts, Theoretical framing, Empirical techniques, Analytical techniques. If all five are present, then a code of “5 PCTEA” will indicate this. If you feel the coding for this record is questionable, we welcome discussion around the terms we matched or the way we categorized them. The facet you would expect may not be coded, or a facet may be coded inappropriately. This can also bear on a larger question, of which facets should be treated as defining in construction management research. Please get in touch, and we will look at it. More details here