Predictive cost modelling: Investigation utilising a qualitatively biased research methodology

Lawther, P M (2000) Predictive cost modelling: Investigation utilising a qualitatively biased research methodology. In: Akintoye, A (ed.) Proceedings of 16th Annual ARCOM Conference, 6-8 September 2000, Glasgow, UK.

Abstract

Predictive cost modelling research has developed in the context of the traditional separation of design and construction activities of the building procurement process. This division is often considered an obstacle to the development of improved predictive cost modelling techniques, owing to the exclusion of the contractor's expertise from the design process. Recent shifts in procurement strategies, resulting in greater contractor involvement in the design stage of construction projects, provide fresh opportunities to investigate this perceived panacea. This paper reports upon research currently in progress into predictive cost modelling techniques utilised by design and construct contractors. In particular, the design and implementation of a predominantly qualitative research methodology, supplemented by quantitative techniques, is examined and postulated as the most appropriate medium for addressing the objectives of the research. Within this context, a theoretical resource based predictive cost modelling technique is developed. The model is subsequently tested utilising case-studies analysis. Preliminary results indicate a "fitness for purpose" of the methodology in the context of the research, although drawbacks are identified.

Item Type: Conference Paper (Paper)
Uncontrolled Keywords: cost modelling; design and construct; procurement
Index terms: design process, procurement strategy, building procurement, construction project, qualitative research, methodology, design stage, investigation, research methodology, design and construction, modelling, implementation
Subjects: production management, research methods, design methods, research design and methodology, data collection methods, analytical methods, professional practice, contractual arrangements
Topics: Design Practice, Procurement, Engineering Principles, Research Practice, Project Management
Descriptive scope: 4 PCTA

N.B. Descriptive scope is a count of how many of the five facets of empirical research are indicated by the words used in title, abstract and keywords. It is not intended as a judgement on the research; merely a count of the kind of word we would expect to indicate Phenomenon, Concepts, Theoretical framing, Empirical techniques, Analytical techniques. If all five are present, then a code of “5 PCTEA” will indicate this. If you feel the coding for this record is questionable, we welcome discussion around the terms we matched or the way we categorized them. The facet you would expect may not be coded, or a facet may be coded inappropriately. This can also bear on a larger question, of which facets should be treated as defining in construction management research. Please get in touch, and we will look at it. More details here