Impact of number of bidders on competition

Carr, R I (1983) Impact of number of bidders on competition. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 109(1), pp. 61-73. ISSN 0733-9364

Abstract

A contractor seeking the highest expected value from each competitive bid will lower the markup, as the number of competitors increases. The contractor's competitors can be expected to do likewise, and their adjustments affect the contractor's expected value. Thus, the number of competitors affects a contractor’s profit twofold. The sheer number of competitors dilutes the probability of winning, and competitors' adjustments of their markups undercut his own markup. Competitors' estimated adjustments are easily included in a bidding analysis based on a modified general bidding model or on Gates' model. Friedman’s model is not compatible with adjustments by competitors. There is a natural equilibrium among competitors based on their relative costs. A contractor with lower costs will bid a higher markup but still a lower bid than competitors. But it is not to the contractor’s advantage to undercut the opposition further. Coupled with the relative insensitivity of expected value to markup, this leads to stability in the competitive bidding process. The interaction within a market, the estimating of competitors' adjustments, and the impact of the number of bidders are demonstrated for the different models.

Item Type: Article
Index terms: competition, expected value, interaction, stability, number of bidders, competitive bidding, estimating, bidding, profit
Subjects: behavioral psychology, financial and cost management, economic analysis, statistical analysis, structural engineering, bidding, market analysis
Topics: Research Practice, Procurement, Engineering Principles, Cost Management, Business Strategy
Descriptive scope: 3 PCA

N.B. Descriptive scope is a count of how many of the five facets of empirical research are indicated by the words used in title, abstract and keywords. It is not intended as a judgement on the research; merely a count of the kind of word we would expect to indicate Phenomenon, Concepts, Theoretical framing, Empirical techniques, Analytical techniques. If all five are present, then a code of “5 PCTEA” will indicate this. If you feel the coding for this record is questionable, we welcome discussion around the terms we matched or the way we categorized them. The facet you would expect may not be coded, or a facet may be coded inappropriately. This can also bear on a larger question, of which facets should be treated as defining in construction management research. Please get in touch, and we will look at it. More details here