Griffis, F H (1992) Bidding strategy: Winning overkey competitors. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 118(1), pp. 151-165. ISSN 0733-9364
Abstract
This paper presents a method by which the probability of winning in the competitive bidding problem can be improved by obtaining additional information concerning a key competitor. The competitive bidding problem as suggested by Friedman consists of describing the bidding behavior of each competitor by developing a probability density function representing the distribution of the ratio of a competitor’s bid to “our” cost estimate. This static distribution for a key competitor is improved by maintaining a volume-time function on competitor k. A function relating the markup of competitor k’s static distribution function, thereby improving the calculation for the probability of winning over (defeating) competitor k. Equations for combining the probability of winning over competitor k with the probability of winning over other competitors is also presented.
| Item Type: | Article |
|---|---|
| Index terms: | competitive bidding, distribution function, cost estimate, strategy, bidding, density |
| Subjects: | probability and distributions, financial and cost management, bidding, analytical methods, management |
| Topics: | Procurement, Business Strategy, Urban Studies, Research Practice, Cost Management |
| Descriptive scope: | 2 CA |
N.B. Descriptive scope is a count of how many of the five facets of empirical research are indicated by the words used in title, abstract and keywords. It is not intended as a judgement on the research; merely a count of the kind of word we would expect to indicate Phenomenon, Concepts, Theoretical framing, Empirical techniques, Analytical techniques. If all five are present, then a code of “5 PCTEA” will indicate this. If you feel the coding for this record is questionable, we welcome discussion around the terms we matched or the way we categorized them. The facet you would expect may not be coded, or a facet may be coded inappropriately. This can also bear on a larger question, of which facets should be treated as defining in construction management research. Please get in touch, and we will look at it. More details here