Prediction of engineering performance: A neurofuzzy approach

Georgy, M E; Chang, L M and Zhang, L (2005) Prediction of engineering performance: A neurofuzzy approach. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 131(5), pp. 548-557. ISSN 0733-9364

Abstract

Engineering and design professionals constitute a major driving force for a successful project undertaking. Although the industry has been active in addressing the performance of construction labor and methods to estimate or predict such performance, relatively fewer efforts have been conducted for the engineering profession. In an attempt to fill out this gap, the paper presents a study to utilize neurofuzzy intelligent systems for predicting the engineering performance in a construction project. First, neurofuzzy systems are introduced as integrated schemes of artificial neural networks and fuzzy control systems. The use of these neurofuzzy intelligent systems, particularly fuzzy neural networks, in predicting engineering performance is then demonstrated in the industrial construction sector. The development of the system is based on actual project data that was collected through questionnaire surveys. Statistical variable reduction techniques are further employed to develop linear regression models of the same engineering performance prediction scheme, and results are being compared between both techniques.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: fuzzy sets; models; neural networks; performance evaluation; predictions
Index terms: control system, questionnaire, construction project, performance evaluation, survey, artificial neural network, neural network, project data, profession, construction labour, estimate, industrial construction, regression model, performance prediction, fuzzy set, intelligent system
Subjects: modelling and simulation, artificial intelligence, financial and cost management, data collection methods, institututions, building construction, decision-making and optimization, statistical analysis, performance measurement, management, performance management, monitoring and control, production management, automation and robotics
Topics: Research Practice, Project Management, Engineering Principles, Business Strategy, Cost Management, Roles and Professions, Quality Management, Digital Applications, Site Management
Descriptive scope: 4 PCEA

N.B. Descriptive scope is a count of how many of the five facets of empirical research are indicated by the words used in title, abstract and keywords. It is not intended as a judgement on the research; merely a count of the kind of word we would expect to indicate Phenomenon, Concepts, Theoretical framing, Empirical techniques, Analytical techniques. If all five are present, then a code of “5 PCTEA” will indicate this. If you feel the coding for this record is questionable, we welcome discussion around the terms we matched or the way we categorized them. The facet you would expect may not be coded, or a facet may be coded inappropriately. This can also bear on a larger question, of which facets should be treated as defining in construction management research. Please get in touch, and we will look at it. More details here