Sakka, Z I and El-Sayegh, S M (2007) Float consumption impact on cost and schedule in the construction industry. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 133(2), pp. 124-130. ISSN 0733-9364
Abstract
Quantifying and minimizing the risks associated with delays in the construction industry are the main challenges for all parties involved. Float loss impact in noncritical activities is one of the complicated delays to assess on a project's duration and cost. This is due to the fact that the deterministic critical path method cannot cope with such delays unless they exceed the total float values. Further, stochastic analysis, which is used in this research to assess the impact of such delays, is perceived by many planners to be complicated and time consuming. This paper presents a method to control the risks associated with float loss in construction projects. The method uses a recently developed multiple simulation analysis technique that combines the results of cost range estimates and stochastic scheduling, using Monte Carlo simulation. The proposed method quantifies the float loss impact on project duration and cost. Least-squares nonlinear regression is used to convert the stochastic results into a polynomial function that quantifies the float loss impact by relating directly the float loss value to project duration and cost at a specified confidence level.
| Item Type: | Article |
|---|---|
| Uncontrolled Keywords: | construction management; cost control; Monte Carlo method; risk management; scheduling; simulation |
| Index terms: | Monte Carlo simulation, risk management, planner, construction industry, duration, estimate, simulation analysis, scheduling, cost control, construction project, consumption, critical path method, stochastic analysis |
| Subjects: | mathematical modelling, risk assessment, profession, consumer economics, design analysis, modelling and simulation, operations research, financial and cost management, production management, project controls, industry analysis |
| Topics: | Design Practice, Time Control, Cost Management, Research Practice, Project Management, Risk Management, Roles and Professions, Stakeholder Management |
| Descriptive scope: | 4 PCTA |
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