Zhao, Z Y; Lv, Q L; Zuo, J and Zillante, G (2010) Prediction system for change management in construction project. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 136(6), pp. 659-669. ISSN 0733-9364
Abstract
Changes are the main causes of delays and cost overruns in construction projects. Various change management systems have been developed to minimize the impacts of changes and to facilitate good project management. This paper presents a change prediction system using activity-based dependency structure matrix (DSM) to facilitate change management. DSM is used to model the process that may occur as a result of changes. Consequently changes can be predicted by setting the change criteria for each activity in the form of rework scope. Furthermore, Monte Carlo simulation is introduced to analyze the change probability of activities involved in construction projects. The effectiveness of the prediction system is verified by applying this system to an office building project. This study provides a useful tool for project management teams to manage changes proactively and efficiently.
| Item Type: | Article |
|---|---|
| Uncontrolled Keywords: | change management; construction project management; dependency structure matrix; information flow; prediction |
| Index terms: | cost overrun, project management, effectiveness, rework, construction project management, office building, information flow, causes of delay, Monte Carlo simulation, change management, construction project, project management team |
| Subjects: | production management, management, financial and cost management, profession, modelling and simulation, performance management, project management theory and practice, information systems, project controls, construction type, operations management |
| Topics: | Digital Applications, Cost Management, Project Management, Roles and Professions, Research Practice, Quality Management, Organizational Design, Construction Technology, Time Control |
| Descriptive scope: | 3 PCA |
N.B. Descriptive scope is a count of how many of the five facets of empirical research are indicated by the words used in title, abstract and keywords. It is not intended as a judgement on the research; merely a count of the kind of word we would expect to indicate Phenomenon, Concepts, Theoretical framing, Empirical techniques, Analytical techniques. If all five are present, then a code of “5 PCTEA” will indicate this. If you feel the coding for this record is questionable, we welcome discussion around the terms we matched or the way we categorized them. The facet you would expect may not be coded, or a facet may be coded inappropriately. This can also bear on a larger question, of which facets should be treated as defining in construction management research. Please get in touch, and we will look at it. More details here