Stock-flow model for forecasting labor supply

Sing, C P; Love, P E D and Tam, C M (2012) Stock-flow model for forecasting labor supply. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 138(6), pp. 707-715. ISSN 0733-9364

Abstract

Forecasting the supply of labor in the construction industry is pivotal to long-term economic growth. A labor supply model using a stock-flow approach was developed in this research for use in the construction industry. The model was tested using Hong Kong census statistics and data derived from interviews with 3,000 randomly selected construction workers. The findings were determined using a stock-flow model, which enabled the determination of future aging distribution trends and workforce supply for specific trade types. The developed stock-flow model can be effectively used in countries in which registration schemes for construction workers are in use.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: forecasting; Hong Kong; labor supply; stock-flow model
Index terms: construction industry, economic growth, statistics, construction worker, forecasting, Hong Kong, labour supply, labour supply model, interview, registration scheme
Subjects: practitioner, mathematical modelling, data collection methods, prediction and forecasting, labour economics, Geography, economics, economic development, industry analysis, market analysis
Topics: Sustainability, Roles and Professions, Research Practice, Geographical Context, Supply Chain Management, Human Resources
Descriptive scope: 5 PCTEA

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