PPPs and project overruns: Evidence from road projects in India

Rajan, T A; Gopinath, G and Behera, M (2014) PPPs and project overruns: Evidence from road projects in India. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 140(5): 04013070, ISSN 0733-9364

Abstract

Construction cost overrun and time overrun are significant problems in infrastructure projects. This study provides a comparative analysis of the incidence of project overruns in Public Private Partnership (PPP) and non-PPP road projects. Data from national road projects in India was used as the study sample. Means analysis, both using an unmatched sample and matched pair analysis indicated significant overruns between PPP and non-PPP projects. While cost overruns were higher in PPP projects, time overruns were higher in non-PPP projects. These trends persisted in OLS regression estimates. A three stage least squares regression estimated to address the simultaneity bias also showed that use of PPP increased cost overrun, though it did not affect time overrun. Results obtained in this study are contrary to the findings of the previous studies, which have been based on PPP projects in developed economies. The findings emphasize the need for developing countries like India to strengthen their capabilities in PPP models to take advantage of private sector efficiencies.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: cost and schedule; cost overruns; India; public private partnership; road projects; time overruns
Index terms: cost overrun, construction cost, private sector, time overrun, efficiency, road project, public private partnership, estimate, infrastructure project, India, overrun, comparative analysis, developing country, evidence, bias
Subjects: project controls, industry analysis, infrastructure and transport systems, performance management, Geography, development economics, probability and distributions, infrastructure engineering, contractual arrangements, data analysis and analytics, financial and cost management, evaluation and assessment methods
Topics: Procurement, Business Strategy, Cost Management, Engineering Principles, Geographical Context, Research Practice, Time Control, International Construction, Quality Management
Descriptive scope: 3 PCA

N.B. Descriptive scope is a count of how many of the five facets of empirical research are indicated by the words used in title, abstract and keywords. It is not intended as a judgement on the research; merely a count of the kind of word we would expect to indicate Phenomenon, Concepts, Theoretical framing, Empirical techniques, Analytical techniques. If all five are present, then a code of “5 PCTEA” will indicate this. If you feel the coding for this record is questionable, we welcome discussion around the terms we matched or the way we categorized them. The facet you would expect may not be coded, or a facet may be coded inappropriately. This can also bear on a larger question, of which facets should be treated as defining in construction management research. Please get in touch, and we will look at it. More details here