Dynamic management of risk contingency in complex design-build projects

De Marco, A; Rafele, C and Thaheem, M J (2016) Dynamic management of risk contingency in complex design-build projects. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 142(2): 04015080, ISSN 0733-9364

Abstract

Contingency budgets are commonly used by managers to respond to uncertainty and control the project within the original cost and schedule targets. However, a variety of project participants with conflicting interests creates tensions when it comes to managing the risk contingency escrow account during the project development, and divergences often arise over the need for either retaining the unspent contingencies (for future risk and improved facility) or releasing it as a profit. With the purpose of studying the dynamics and main influences involved in the risk contingency management process of a design-build (DB) project, a system dynamics (SD) contingency management model is proposed to simulate the decision-making scenarios, under different project conditions and behavioral pressures of senior managers and owners. The model suggests that an aggressive proactive risk management practice might be an effective policy for managing the contingency budget in a complex engineering, procurement, and construction (EPC) project.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: budgeting; contingency; cost control; project planning and design
Index terms: escrow, dynamics, risk management, decision-making, project development, system dynamics, budgeting, manager, profit, cost control, owner, project planning
Subjects: project delivery, financial and cost management, systems engineering, computing systems, financial management, practitioner, risk assessment, decision analysis, sociology, economic analysis, financial risk, control systems
Topics: Roles and Professions, Digital Applications, Engineering Principles, Risk Management, Stakeholder Management, Business Strategy, Project Management, Cost Management
Descriptive scope: 3 PCT

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