Prioritizing construction risks using fuzzy AHP in Brazilian public enterprises

Beltrão, L M P and Carvalho, M T M (2019) Prioritizing construction risks using fuzzy AHP in Brazilian public enterprises. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 145(2): 05018018, ISSN 0733-9364

Abstract

Risks capable of impacting project objectives are intrinsic to the construction industry. Effective risk analysis has key importance to professionals concerned with construction goals, especially in public enterprises, given the amount of money invested and the demand for modern infrastructure. Therefore, this study aims to identify the main public construction risks and present a practical fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (AHP) model to prioritize these risks in Brazilian public enterprises. The model is divided into three steps: (1) risk identification and development of the risk breakdown structure, (2) pairwise comparisons, and (3) risk prioritization. Throughout the case study, 54 risks were identified, which were organized into eight categories. The major risk in the Brazilian scenario was "difficulty in environmental licensing." Although this study focused on a specific context, its methodology provides a reliable and practical framework that can be adjusted to various construction projects worldwide to assess risks. Additionally, the identified risks can provide sound guidance to practitioners globally, because their elicitation was based on studies concerning different countries.

Item Type: Article
Index terms: risk breakdown structure, risk identification, licensing, practitioner, construction project, methodology, risk prioritization, risk analysis, case study, prioritizing, public construction, fuzzy analytic hierarchy process, construction industry
Subjects: data collection methods, practitioner, knowledge transfer, decision analysis, building construction, industry analysis, decision-making and optimization, environmental hazards, research methods, production management, financial risk
Topics: Engineering Principles, Project Management, Research Practice, Cost Management, Sustainability, Roles and Professions, Risk Management, Digital Applications
Descriptive scope: 5 PCTEA

N.B. Descriptive scope is a count of how many of the five facets of empirical research are indicated by the words used in title, abstract and keywords. It is not intended as a judgement on the research; merely a count of the kind of word we would expect to indicate Phenomenon, Concepts, Theoretical framing, Empirical techniques, Analytical techniques. If all five are present, then a code of “5 PCTEA” will indicate this. If you feel the coding for this record is questionable, we welcome discussion around the terms we matched or the way we categorized them. The facet you would expect may not be coded, or a facet may be coded inappropriately. This can also bear on a larger question, of which facets should be treated as defining in construction management research. Please get in touch, and we will look at it. More details here