Global sensitivity analysis methodology for construction simulation models: Multiple linear regressions versus multilayer perceptions

Wang, S; Hasan, M and Lu, M (2024) Global sensitivity analysis methodology for construction simulation models: Multiple linear regressions versus multilayer perceptions. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 150(5): 04024035, ISSN 0733-9364

Abstract

In this research, the multilayer perceptron (MLP), also known as error backpropagation neural networks, is made transparent and explainable by contrasting with the commonly applied multiple linear regression (MLR). A novel MLP-based method for performing global sensitivity analysis is formalized to tackle complicated, nonexplainable simulation models or artificial intelligence (AI) models, which were developed to support critical decisions in construction engineering. The sensitivity analysis results serve as further evidence to validate the decision support models and lend new insights into the problems under investigation. The proposed new method was applied in two case studies in construction engineering, they are: precast viaduct installation cycles and concrete strength development. In both applications, the results of sensitivity analysis were represented in straightforward forms and effectively cross-checked with the existing knowledge of the problem domain or the experiences of construction practitioners.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: explainable artificial intelligence; multilayer perception; multiple linear regression; productivity model; sensitivity analysis
Index terms: construction engineering, investigation, artificial intelligence, case study, productivity, multilayer, methodology, evidence, construction simulation, decision support, sensitivity analysis, neural network, construction practitioner
Subjects: data collection methods, evaluation and assessment methods, artificial intelligence, modelling and simulation, professional development, management, engineering methods, research methods, specialized materials and systems, environmental hazards, decision analysis
Topics: Business Strategy, Construction Materials, Engineering Principles, Information Management, Research Practice, Risk Management, Sustainability, Digital Applications
Descriptive scope: 5 PCTEA

N.B. Descriptive scope is a count of how many of the five facets of empirical research are indicated by the words used in title, abstract and keywords. It is not intended as a judgement on the research; merely a count of the kind of word we would expect to indicate Phenomenon, Concepts, Theoretical framing, Empirical techniques, Analytical techniques. If all five are present, then a code of “5 PCTEA” will indicate this. If you feel the coding for this record is questionable, we welcome discussion around the terms we matched or the way we categorized them. The facet you would expect may not be coded, or a facet may be coded inappropriately. This can also bear on a larger question, of which facets should be treated as defining in construction management research. Please get in touch, and we will look at it. More details here