Harty, C; Goodier, C; Soetanto, R; Austin, S; Dainty, A; Price, A and Thorpe, T (2006) Scenario development: A methodology for aligning contemporary practices with the potential futures of UK construction. In: Boyd, D (ed.) Proceedings of 22nd Annual ARCOM Conference, 4-6 September 2006, Birmingham, UK.
Abstract
Visualising and preparing for the future is a central activity for firms, other institutions, governments and individuals, and future studies has become a significant area of interest and study. The methodological approach developed for a large project - 'Sustained competitiveness in UK construction' or 'the Big Ideas' for short - investigating the possible implications of different potential futures for the construction sector is outlined, and several key methodological principles discussed. These include a commitment to producing a diverse range of possible future scenarios, and maintaining a strong connection between these potential futures and the contemporary practices and abilities of construction firms and practitioners. An example scenario is presented and discussed, and the development of the approach on the project considered.
| Item Type: | Conference Paper (Paper) |
|---|---|
| Uncontrolled Keywords: | future of construction; future studies; methodology; scenario planning; strategy |
| Index terms: | future study, scenario planning, construction sector, commitment, methodology, practitioner, strategy, construction firm, competitiveness |
| Subjects: | management, research design and methodology, organization, psychology, industry analysis, research methods, practitioner, market analysis |
| Topics: | Business Strategy, Organizational Design, Roles and Professions, Research Practice |
| Descriptive scope: | 4 PCTA |
N.B. Descriptive scope is a count of how many of the five facets of empirical research are indicated by the words used in title, abstract and keywords. It is not intended as a judgement on the research; merely a count of the kind of word we would expect to indicate Phenomenon, Concepts, Theoretical framing, Empirical techniques, Analytical techniques. If all five are present, then a code of “5 PCTEA” will indicate this. If you feel the coding for this record is questionable, we welcome discussion around the terms we matched or the way we categorized them. The facet you would expect may not be coded, or a facet may be coded inappropriately. This can also bear on a larger question, of which facets should be treated as defining in construction management research. Please get in touch, and we will look at it. More details here