Dealing with uncertainty in construction projects with particular reference to Egypt

Eldosoky, A I (1987) Dealing with uncertainty in construction projects with particular reference to Egypt. PhD thesis, University of Manchester, UK.

Abstract

Risk management has had limited application in the industry despite large schedule delays and significant experienced by clients and contractors on recent major projects. Some developments are essential to improve the credibility of the risk analysis techniques within the industry. This research is an attempt to further establish the concept of risk management for construction contracts.The study is primarily concerned with dealing with uncertainty in construction projects. A particular reference is given to the construction industry in Egypt. The main objectives of the research are: 1) to analyse and discuss the theoretical aspects of construction risk management and to introduce developments wherever possible, 2) to investigate, through application of risk management to tender preparation for a major construction project, how uncertainty changes during the life of the project and the interrelationship between cost and time, 3) to propose roles of the participants of the construction industry; the client, designer, local authority, government, and contractor, to mitigate construction risks, and 4) to make use of the experience gained during the research to suggest a set of recommendations for greater stability of the construction industry in Egypt.The approach of construction risk and uncertainty management consists of three main steps: risk identification, risk analysis and risk response. The present state-of-the-art of each research aspect is introduced and the author suggests necessary modifications. An earth dam with a constrained construction programme is chosen as the model to investigate how uncertainty changes during the life of a project. Roles of the different parties in construction risk management are proposed by consideration of ten different real-life projects. The projects are chosen in such a way that they can be representatives of a wide range of project types. Suggestions are given to improve contractual performance in Egypt taken into consideration the special situation of the industry.

Item Type: Thesis (Doctoral)
Thesis advisor: Thompson, P A
Uncontrolled Keywords: uncertainty; government; major projects; risk identification; risk management; designer; Egypt; risk analysis; construction project; client
Index terms: risk analysis, construction project, state of the art, stability, local authority, risk response, programme, risk identification, Egypt, construction industry, construction contract, uncertainty management, risk management, earth dam, major project, designer, schedule delay
Subjects: risk assessment, profession, research dissemination and communication, contract type, strategic project management, Geography, production management, financial risk, structural engineering, industry analysis, environmental hazards, project controls, sociology
Topics: Cost Management, Research Practice, Geographical Context, Project Management, Engineering Principles, Risk Management, Stakeholder Management, Roles and Professions, Procurement, Sustainability, Time Control
Descriptive scope: 3 PCT

N.B. Descriptive scope is a count of how many of the five facets of empirical research are indicated by the words used in title, abstract and keywords. It is not intended as a judgement on the research; merely a count of the kind of word we would expect to indicate Phenomenon, Concepts, Theoretical framing, Empirical techniques, Analytical techniques. If all five are present, then a code of “5 PCTEA” will indicate this. If you feel the coding for this record is questionable, we welcome discussion around the terms we matched or the way we categorized them. The facet you would expect may not be coded, or a facet may be coded inappropriately. This can also bear on a larger question, of which facets should be treated as defining in construction management research. Please get in touch, and we will look at it. More details here