Bayesian models for sequential bidding and related theoretical topics

Attwell, D N (1989) Bayesian models for sequential bidding and related theoretical topics. PhD thesis, University of Warwick, UK.

Abstract

The problems faced by a company in determining its bids on a sequence of contracts put out to tender has been studied extensively in past literature. This thesis concentrates on formalising and developing these existing models as well as presenting new models for both the competing bidders and the tendering organisation. Development of these models involves reviewing and extending theoretical results in the areas of time series analysis, multi-armed bandits, and finitely additive probability distributions.

Item Type: Thesis (Doctoral)
Uncontrolled Keywords: Bayesian modelling; bidding; contracts; probability; sequential bidding; tendering; time series
Index terms: bidding, modelling, time series, probability distribution, time-series analysis, bidder
Subjects: data science, bidding, research evaluation and metrics, analytical methods, statistical analysis
Topics: Procurement, Research Practice, Engineering Principles
Descriptive scope: 4 PCTA

N.B. Descriptive scope is a count of how many of the five facets of empirical research are indicated by the words used in title, abstract and keywords. It is not intended as a judgement on the research; merely a count of the kind of word we would expect to indicate Phenomenon, Concepts, Theoretical framing, Empirical techniques, Analytical techniques. If all five are present, then a code of “5 PCTEA” will indicate this. If you feel the coding for this record is questionable, we welcome discussion around the terms we matched or the way we categorized them. The facet you would expect may not be coded, or a facet may be coded inappropriately. This can also bear on a larger question, of which facets should be treated as defining in construction management research. Please get in touch, and we will look at it. More details here