Improved reliability and economic modeling for new and retrofitted low-rise structures subjected to extreme wind hazards

Liang, D (2001) Improved reliability and economic modeling for new and retrofitted low-rise structures subjected to extreme wind hazards. PhD thesis, State University of New York at Buffalo, USA.

Abstract

This study proposes a new approach for developing a reliability model for low-rise buildings using the methods of Event Tree and Fault Tree (ET) analysis. ET focuses on the consequence analysis for pre-incident and post-incident applications. It consists of a number of sequences of random variables representing the states of top events—performance of crucial structural subsystems. Each node on the ET is followed by a possible occurrence of a new variable with a probability distribution function being conditional to its previous random variables. The Fault tree (FT) is then constructed and aimed at evaluating the probability of occurrence of top events with logic diagrams. The quantification is then conducted based on components' reliability characteristic and the logic gates linking them together. This study develops a systematic analytical framework that views low-rise residential building as a complete economic entity. The valuation model consists of two fundamental elements: cost and benefit. The decision made by homeowners will depend on whether the cost related to retrofitting exceeds the saving in reduction of potential damage. To take account of the effect of time factors, the concept of life cycle costing is applied so that all expenditures occurred or to be occurred during the lifetime of a structures are discounted to the same time point with a predefined interest rate. In this study, cost is evaluated and grouped into a number of sources: damage to structural components, damage to non-structural components, cost of injury and casualty of occupants, damage to building contents. Sensitivity analysis is followed to measure the effects of controllable factors in the models and identify the candidates for improvement.

Item Type: Thesis (Doctoral)
Thesis advisor: Gaus, M P
Uncontrolled Keywords: hazards; reliability; residential; injury; interest rate; life cycle; probability; quantification
Index terms: costing, modelling, residential building, quantification, probability distribution, life cycle, interest rate, retrofitting, analytical framework, injury, sensitivity analysis, homeowner
Subjects: renovation and retrofit, accounting and finance, statistical analysis, environmental hazards, measurement and scaling, sociology, health conditions and diseases, value management, construction type, data analysis and analytics, economic analysis, analytical methods
Topics: Stakeholder Management, Construction Technology, Business Strategy, Cost Management, Research Practice, Sustainability, Health and Safety, Project Management, Engineering Principles
Descriptive scope: 3 PCA

N.B. Descriptive scope is a count of how many of the five facets of empirical research are indicated by the words used in title, abstract and keywords. It is not intended as a judgement on the research; merely a count of the kind of word we would expect to indicate Phenomenon, Concepts, Theoretical framing, Empirical techniques, Analytical techniques. If all five are present, then a code of “5 PCTEA” will indicate this. If you feel the coding for this record is questionable, we welcome discussion around the terms we matched or the way we categorized them. The facet you would expect may not be coded, or a facet may be coded inappropriately. This can also bear on a larger question, of which facets should be treated as defining in construction management research. Please get in touch, and we will look at it. More details here