Executive level capital project decision making: Rational or rationale?

Chenger, D T (2012) Executive level capital project decision making: Rational or rationale? PhD thesis, University of Calgary, Canada.

Abstract

The Project Management Institute estimates the current annual global investment in all capital projects and infrastructure is $12 trillion US, yet we have very little information on how and who initiated these investment decisions. Further, despite the creation of numerous programs and processes aimed at improving project success, completing projects on time and within budget still seems to elude project participants. Interviews were conducted with 21 executives in the upstream oil and gas industry to provide insight into how high profile capital project decisions were made. While capital projects were thought to be initiated by managers and follow a stage-gate process or are an output of the strategic planning process, a key finding is that these major projects were independently and intuitively conceived either by the CEO alone or by the CEO and other executives or board members. Four decision-making paths were modelled based on the type of opportunity: planned, opportunistic, combined, and one followed a rational decision-making process. Formal risk processes were not used in the decision-making process, nor were other resources such as consultants. These findings have implications for existing project management practices, including aligning risk perspectives and how risk is managed, the role of a stage-gate model, how projects are conceived and moved into the planning phase, and how projects are communicated within the executive team and organization. The findings also raise questions regarding broader external implications. If major decisions are made independently by CEOs, how are companies ensuring our corporate leaders are trained to make good decisions, as major projects not only impact the organization but also affect the communities in which the company operates? This research provides some valuable insight into how executives perceive risk, equity markets, organizational readiness, project opportunities, and their perceived role in projects. This helps to prepare the expectations of project managers and others in organizations who are craving for more face time and insight into the strategic process as well as project planning and execution.

Item Type: Thesis (Doctoral)
Thesis advisor: Jergeas, G
Uncontrolled Keywords: market; investment; major projects; markets; project management practice; project planning; project success; strategic planning; consultant; project manager; interview
Index terms: project management, investment decision, oil and gas, markets, estimate, executive, strategic planning, capital project, major project, decision-making process, project manager, project success, project planning, program, decision-making, face, interview, project management practice, manager
Subjects: practitioner, economic analysis, strategic project management, psychology, control systems, profession, data collection methods, financial and cost management, project management theory and practice, software systems, management, industry analysis, decision analysis
Topics: Project Management, Risk Management, Digital Applications, Organizational Design, Cost Management, Business Strategy, Research Practice, Roles and Professions
Descriptive scope: 3 PCE

N.B. Descriptive scope is a count of how many of the five facets of empirical research are indicated by the words used in title, abstract and keywords. It is not intended as a judgement on the research; merely a count of the kind of word we would expect to indicate Phenomenon, Concepts, Theoretical framing, Empirical techniques, Analytical techniques. If all five are present, then a code of “5 PCTEA” will indicate this. If you feel the coding for this record is questionable, we welcome discussion around the terms we matched or the way we categorized them. The facet you would expect may not be coded, or a facet may be coded inappropriately. This can also bear on a larger question, of which facets should be treated as defining in construction management research. Please get in touch, and we will look at it. More details here