Structuring risks for a comprehensive understanding of cost overruns in power plant projects

Islam, M S; Nepal, M and Skitmore, M (2025) Structuring risks for a comprehensive understanding of cost overruns in power plant projects. Construction Innovation, 25(3), pp. 1014-1032. ISSN 1471-4175

Abstract

Purpose: Power plant projects are very complex and encounter serious cost overruns worldwide. Their cost overrun risks are not independent but interrelated in many cases, having structural relationships among each other. The purpose of this study is, therefore, to establish the complex structural relationships of risks involved. Design/methodology/approach: In total, 76 published articles from the previous literature are reviewed using the content analysis method. Three risk networks in different phases of power plant projects are depicted based on literature review and case studies. The possible methods of solving these risk networks are also discussed. Findings: The study finds critical cost overrun risks and develops risk networks for the procurement, civil and mechanical works of power plant projects. It identifies potential models to assess cost overrun risks based on the developed risk networks. The literature review also revealed some research gaps in the cost overrun risk management of power plants and similar infrastructure projects. Practical implications: This study will assist project risk managers to understand the potential risks and their relationships to prevent and mitigate cost overruns for future power plant projects. It will also facilitate decision-makers developing a risk management framework and controlling projects' cost overruns. Originality/value: The study presents conceptual risk networks in different phases of power plant projects for comprehending the root causes of cost overruns. A comparative discussion of the relevant models available in the literature is presented, where their potential applications, limitations and further improvement areas are discussed to solve the developed risk networks for modeling cost overrun risks.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: cost overruns; decision-making; power plant projects; project phases; risk management; risk networks
Index terms: methodology, decision-making, literature review, content analysis, risk manager, risk management, modelling, infrastructure project, case study, power plant, cost overrun
Subjects: research methods, analytical methods, practitioner, infrastructure and transport systems, decision analysis, data analysis and analytics, financial and cost management, data collection methods, risk assessment
Topics: Risk Management, Engineering Principles, Roles and Professions, Cost Management, Research Practice
Descriptive scope: 5 PCTEA

N.B. Descriptive scope is a count of how many of the five facets of empirical research are indicated by the words used in title, abstract and keywords. It is not intended as a judgement on the research; merely a count of the kind of word we would expect to indicate Phenomenon, Concepts, Theoretical framing, Empirical techniques, Analytical techniques. If all five are present, then a code of “5 PCTEA” will indicate this. If you feel the coding for this record is questionable, we welcome discussion around the terms we matched or the way we categorized them. The facet you would expect may not be coded, or a facet may be coded inappropriately. This can also bear on a larger question, of which facets should be treated as defining in construction management research. Please get in touch, and we will look at it. More details here