Preliminary cost forecasting and optimization for the construction of steel pedestrian bridges in Egypt

Badra, N; Hegazy, H; Mousa, M; Zhang, J; Syed Zakaria, S A; Aboul Haggag, S and Abdul-Rashied, I (2025) Preliminary cost forecasting and optimization for the construction of steel pedestrian bridges in Egypt. Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management, 32(4), pp. 2210-2241. ISSN 0969-9988

Abstract

Purpose: This research aims to create a methodology that integrates optimization techniques into preliminary cost estimates and predicts the impacts of design alternatives of steel pedestrian bridges (SPBs). The cost estimation process uses two main parameters, but the main goal is to create a cost estimation model. Design/methodology/approach: This study explores a flexible model design that uses computing capabilities for decision-making. Using cost optimization techniques, the model can select an optimal pedestrian bridge system based on multiple criteria that may change independently. This research focuses on four types of SPB systems prevalent in Egypt and worldwide. The study also suggests developing a computerized cost and weight optimization model that enables decision-makers to select the optimal system for SPBs in keeping up with the criteria established for that system. Findings: In this paper, the authors developed an optimization model for cost estimates of SPBs. The model considers two main parameters: weight and cost. The main contribution of this study based on a parametric study is to propose an approach that enables structural engineers and designers to select the optimum system for SPBs. Practical implications: The implications of this research from a practical perspective are that the study outlines a feasible approach to develop a computerized model that utilizes the capabilities of computing for quick cost optimization that enables decision-makers to select the optimal system for four common SPBs based on multiple criteria that may change independently and in concert with cost optimization during the preliminary design stage. Social implications: The model can choose an optimal system for SPBs based on multiple criteria that may change independently and in concert with cost optimization. The resulting optimization model can forecast the optimum cost of the SPBs for different structural spans and road spans based on local unit costs of materials cost of steel structures, fabrication, erection and painting works. Originality/value: The authors developed a computerized model that uses spreadsheet software's capabilities for cost optimization, enabling decision-makers to select the optimal system for SPBs meeting the criteria established for such a system. Based on structural characteristics and material unit costs, this study shows that using the optimization model for estimating the total direct cost of SPB systems, the project cost can be accurately predicted based on the conceptual design status, and positive prediction outcomes are achieved.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: construction cost; cost optimization; decision-making; preliminary design; steel pedestrian bridges; structural optimization
Index terms: fabrication, steel structure, Egypt, cost estimate, designer, construction cost, cost forecasting, direct cost, optimization technique, spreadsheet, preliminary design, estimating, unit cost, pedestrian, conceptual design, computing, structural engineer, decision-making, methodology, project cost, cost estimating, cost optimization
Subjects: Geography, research methods, algorithms, manufacturing engineering, financial and cost management, data science, computing systems, profession, decision analysis, sociology, specialized materials and systems, economics, design practice
Topics: Research Practice, Construction Materials, Cost Management, Roles and Professions, Stakeholder Management, Design Practice, Digital Applications, Geographical Context, Engineering Principles, Risk Management
Descriptive scope: 3 PCT

N.B. Descriptive scope is a count of how many of the five facets of empirical research are indicated by the words used in title, abstract and keywords. It is not intended as a judgement on the research; merely a count of the kind of word we would expect to indicate Phenomenon, Concepts, Theoretical framing, Empirical techniques, Analytical techniques. If all five are present, then a code of “5 PCTEA” will indicate this. If you feel the coding for this record is questionable, we welcome discussion around the terms we matched or the way we categorized them. The facet you would expect may not be coded, or a facet may be coded inappropriately. This can also bear on a larger question, of which facets should be treated as defining in construction management research. Please get in touch, and we will look at it. More details here