Framework for the UK construction industry transition to net zero design: a Delphi techniques and structural equation model approach

Osunsanmi, T O; Gillies-Denning, E; Khaddour, L A; Olawumi, T O and Moobela, C (2025) Framework for the UK construction industry transition to net zero design: a Delphi techniques and structural equation model approach. International Journal of Construction Management, 25(5), pp. 495-509. ISSN 1562-3599

Abstract

The shift towards net zero design for the construction industry poses complex challenges, which can be likened to a three-headed hydra embodying energy, water, and carbon emissions. The industry stakeholders have grappled with addressing the challenges due to an ineffective reductionist approach that targets each head (energy, water, and carbon) separately. Recognizing their interdependence, this study proposes a holistic panacea approach to facilitate the industry's transition to net zero design. This was achieved using a mixed (quantitative and qualitative) research methodology. The qualitative study was conducted using a three-stage Delphi technique involving 13 experts. Structural equation modeling was used for the quantitative involving 200 construction stakeholders selected randomly. The study discovered that net-zero design integrates sustainability concepts, such as net-zero energy, water, and carbon aimed at ensuring a sustainable built environment. Factors like innovation, organizational culture, and construction project management were identified as pivotal in steering the construction industry toward net zero design. The transition to net zero design can be impeded by poor cost management and restrictive organizational cultures. The study recommended that stakeholders in the construction industry should embrace a culture that supports the commitment to net zero design.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: carbon emission; innovation; net zero; project management; UK
Index terms: commitment, structural equation modelling, organizational culture, Delphi technique, qualitative study, cost management, carbon emission, construction industry, project management, interdependence, net zero, structural equation model, built environment, construction project management, research methodology
Subjects: data collection methods, research design and methodology, energy systems, project management theory and practice, industry analysis, infrastructure and transport systems, statistical analysis, organizational analysis, sociology, climate science, psychology, accounting and finance
Topics: Urban Studies, Organizational Design, Research Practice, Cost Management, Project Management, Sustainability
Descriptive scope: 4 PCTA

N.B. Descriptive scope is a count of how many of the five facets of empirical research are indicated by the words used in title, abstract and keywords. It is not intended as a judgement on the research; merely a count of the kind of word we would expect to indicate Phenomenon, Concepts, Theoretical framing, Empirical techniques, Analytical techniques. If all five are present, then a code of “5 PCTEA” will indicate this. If you feel the coding for this record is questionable, we welcome discussion around the terms we matched or the way we categorized them. The facet you would expect may not be coded, or a facet may be coded inappropriately. This can also bear on a larger question, of which facets should be treated as defining in construction management research. Please get in touch, and we will look at it. More details here