Simulation-based seismic reliability assessment of complex structural systems

Dobossy, M E (2006) Simulation-based seismic reliability assessment of complex structural systems. PhD thesis, Princeton University, USA.

Abstract

Researchers from various institutions have recently developed innovative steel moment frame systems for earthquake-resistant design that, following a major earthquake, have the potential to reduce or eliminate structural damage and return to its original vertical position (i. e. self-center). As the development of these steel moment frames with self-centering behavior progresses, it will be necessary to specify design parameters and a workable design method. This will require a good understanding of the sensitivity of the structure to changes in these parameters as well as the reliability of structures built based on the proposed method. This research investigates a risk assessment methodology (using Monte Carlo simulation) related to the seismic response of self-centering steel moment frame prototype buildings. A complex and a simplified model for a Self-Centering Steel Moment Resisting Frame (SC-MRF) are developed and validated against past data. Next, a method of reliability assessment is proposed. A series of conditional seismic reliability assessments are performed on a structural model. Two methods are developed to generate synthetic earthquakes: one using a specific building site which uses seismic hazard data to generate events with realistic magnitudes and distances based on a return period earthquake (site characteristic method), and another generating events based on a scenario (scenario method). The earthquakes are applied to the structural model and data is recorded as to the structure's response. This data is then used to generate demand curves (with respect to the structural response of interest). Next a capacity curve is generated for a structural limit state. The results of both studies are combined to yield the overall limit-state specific reliability of the structure. To illustrate the effectiveness of the method, it is applied to the simplified model of the SC-MRF model developed. An example is presented for both the site characteristic method of event generation, and the scenario method. In addition, a simple parametric study involving hysteretic energy is performed to illustrate parametric sensitivity analysis applied to the reliability assessment. Overall the research performed in this dissertation was found to provide an effective method of seismic reliability assessment of complex structures.

Item Type: Thesis (Doctoral)
Thesis advisor: VonMarche, E
Uncontrolled Keywords: Monte Carlo simulation; building site; earthquake; reliability; risk assessment; simulation
Index terms: building site, earthquake, prototype, risk assessment, design parameter, methodology, design method, sensitivity analysis, effectiveness, Monte Carlo simulation, dissertation
Subjects: design methods, modelling and simulation, design constraints, research dissemination and communication, performance management, site and location studies, financial risk, environmental hazards, research methods
Topics: Geographical Context, Cost Management, Sustainability, Engineering Principles, Research Practice, Design Practice, Quality Management
Descriptive scope: 4 PCTA

N.B. Descriptive scope is a count of how many of the five facets of empirical research are indicated by the words used in title, abstract and keywords. It is not intended as a judgement on the research; merely a count of the kind of word we would expect to indicate Phenomenon, Concepts, Theoretical framing, Empirical techniques, Analytical techniques. If all five are present, then a code of “5 PCTEA” will indicate this. If you feel the coding for this record is questionable, we welcome discussion around the terms we matched or the way we categorized them. The facet you would expect may not be coded, or a facet may be coded inappropriately. This can also bear on a larger question, of which facets should be treated as defining in construction management research. Please get in touch, and we will look at it. More details here