Modelling of government flood-related policy in Sustainable Development Goal 11: Evidence from Nigeria using "system theory"

Ebekozien, E. O.; Ebekozien, A.; Hafez, M.; Aigbavboa, C.; Nwaole, A. N. C.; Samsurijan, M. S.; Aliu, J. O.; Ayo-Odirifi, S. O.; Adekunle, S. A. and Akinradewo, O. (2026) Modelling of government flood-related policy in Sustainable Development Goal 11: Evidence from Nigeria using "system theory". International Journal of Building Pathology and Adaptation, 44(4), pp. 995-1012. ISSN 2398-4708

Abstract

Purpose – Studies showed that many countries, including Nigeria, have not embraced Urban Flood Resilience Technologies (UFRT) to mitigate flooding and related crises. It may threaten Achieving Sustainable Development Goal 11 (ASDG). This may amplify human settlement risks. The reviewed literature revealed that Government Policy Support (GPS) could improve Human Settlements and Sustainable Cities (HSSC). Studies concerning how Nigeria's Government Policy Support can transform commitments for HSSC via ASDG are scarce. Thus, this study developed modelling of government flood-related policy in SDG 11 by examining the moderating effect of GPS on the relationship between UFRT and ASDG. Design/methodology/approach – SmartPLS (3.3.3) was adopted to analyse the collated data. In total, 460 questionnaires were from respondents across Nigeria's 6 geo-political zones, and 450 questionnaires were useable and adopted for the analysis. The researchers adopted systems theory to support the study's proposed model. Findings – The results reveal that Nigeria's policy support significantly moderates the links between UFRT and ASDG. It shows that the research findings provide more understanding concerning issues influencing transformative commitments for HSSC to improve achieving Goal 11 to mitigate HSSC-related risks. Originality/value – The study (UFRT and GPS) is a mechanism to enhance Goal 11 transformative commitments for HSSC in Nigeria. This could be extended to other countries with similar challenges. Besides the research findings contributing to the scarce literature, it would encourage human settlement policymakers in developing countries to improve achieving Goal 11 and embrace UFRT as the way forward to mitigate risks associated with achieving transformative commitments for HSSC.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: framework; goal 11; government policy; modelling; system theory; urban flood resilience
Index terms: questionnaire, evidence, methodology, systems theory, developing country, flooding, commitment, sustainable development goal, government policy, modelling, Nigeria, sustainable city
Subjects: data collection methods, urban design, development economics, Geography, sustainable design, research methods, theoretical framing, environmental hazards, evaluation and assessment methods, analytical methods, public policy, psychology
Topics: Organizational Design, International Construction, Urban Studies, Governance, Research Practice, Sustainability, Engineering Principles, Geographical Context
Descriptive scope: 4 PCTA

N.B. Descriptive scope is a count of how many of the five facets of empirical research are indicated by the words used in title, abstract and keywords. It is not intended as a judgement on the research; merely a count of the kind of word we would expect to indicate Phenomenon, Concepts, Theoretical framing, Empirical techniques, Analytical techniques. If all five are present, then a code of “5 PCTEA” will indicate this. If you feel the coding for this record is questionable, we welcome discussion around the terms we matched or the way we categorized them. The facet you would expect may not be coded, or a facet may be coded inappropriately. This can also bear on a larger question, of which facets should be treated as defining in construction management research. Please get in touch, and we will look at it. More details here