Service life prediction of exterior cladding components under standard conditions

Shohet, I M and Paciuk, M (2004) Service life prediction of exterior cladding components under standard conditions. Construction Management and Economics, 22(10), pp. 1081-1090. ISSN 01446193

Abstract

An empirical method was developed for the prediction of the service life of building components, based on an evaluation of their actual performance and on the identification of failure mechanisms affecting their durability. The service life of exterior components subjected to normal service conditions is predicted. Four types of exterior claddings are exemplified: cementitious mortar, synthetic rendering, ceramic mosaic, and wet-fixing stone cladding. The proposed prediction models yield high degrees of fit to the data (R2 in the range of 0.86 to 0.93 at a 0.0001 level of significance). Life cycle costs (LCC) analysis - following service-life prediction results - leads to the conclusion that maintenance and replacements costs account for 10-80% of initial capital costs. Synthetic rendering exhibited the highest LCC effectiveness, reflecting durability and low capital costs. The method can be used for planning preventive maintenance, evaluating economic implications of failures, and planning service life.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: life cycle assessment; maintenance; performance; service life planning; service life prediction
Index terms: durability, life prediction, service life, mortars (material), cladding, effectiveness, life cycle cost, preventive maintenance, prediction model, life cycle assessment, capital cost, building component, replacement, service life prediction
Subjects: material degradation and durability, prediction and forecasting, building materials, environmental impact, materials science, asset management, health safety and environment, research methods, maintenance engineering, performance management, accounting and finance, architectural elements
Topics: Design Practice, Quality Management, Business Strategy, Health and Safety, Research Practice, Engineering Principles, Construction Materials, Sustainability
Descriptive scope: 3 PCA

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