Coefficient stability and predictability in input-output models: A comparative analysis for the Netherlands

Dietzenbacher, E and Hoen, A (2006) Coefficient stability and predictability in input-output models: A comparative analysis for the Netherlands. Construction Management and Economics, 24(7), pp. 671-680. ISSN 1466433X

Abstract

Following the work of Bon, this article compares the stability of two types of input-output models. These are, the Leontief (or demand-driven) model and the Ghosh (or supply-driven) model. The empirical results are based on a times series of annual input-output tables for the Netherlands, covering the period 1948-84. Three types of analysis are carried out. The first to evaluate the stability of the models' underlying coefficients over time. The second to investigate the forecasting behaviour when there is perfect foresight with respect to the models' exogenous variables. The third to examine the predictability of the models, absent of perfect foresight.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: forecasting behaviour; input-output models; stability
Index terms: comparative analysis, input-output table, Netherlands, stability, forecasting
Subjects: structural engineering, Geography, prediction and forecasting, economic analysis, data analysis and analytics
Topics: Engineering Principles, Geographical Context, Research Practice
Descriptive scope: 3 PCA

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