Development of a client-based risk management methodology for the early design stage of construction processes: Applied to the KSA

Albogamy, A and Dawood, N (2015) Development of a client-based risk management methodology for the early design stage of construction processes: Applied to the KSA. Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management, 22(5), pp. 493-515. ISSN 0969-9988

Abstract

Purpose - The risk factors associated with clients have a major impact on the successful delivery of a project from early design to the construction and operation stages. Risk management studies conducted so far have not succeeded in providing an effective risk assessment methodology for clients in analysing and managing the risk factors that cause both project delays and cost overruns. So, the purpose of this paper is to provide a methodology for a client-based risk management model. Design/methodology/approach - A conceptual framework is designed by integrating the findings from a literature review and a construction industry survey in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The framework includes the risk identification, risk analysis and mitigation strategy, which are the key components of the model. The model of the framework is developed by integrating the analytical hierarchy process (AHP) and Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) underpinned within an @Risk program. Findings - A case study is used to demonstrate the proposed methodology; the results found that the model helps to analyse and quantify the impact of risk factors, and also to assist in taking a suitable risk mitigation strategy, particularly at the early design stage in the construction process. Practical implications - The model is applicable to both public and private clients when they need to know the possible project duration in a new construction project, and to take some proactive actions to avoid the adverse effect of client risk factors at the early stage of the project. Originality/value - The model is expected to help in understanding the nature, and analysing the influence, of client risk factors that cause project delays and cost overruns. The development of the methodology for managing the client-based risk in construction processes at the early design stage is the key value of the study.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: risk assessment; analytical hierarchy process; monte carlo simulation; construction management; risk management; modelling
Index terms: duration, construction industry, modelling, analytical hierarchy process, early design stage, risk assessment, risk factor, risk management, Monte Carlo simulation, cost overrun, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, case study, risk mitigation, conceptual framework, risk analysis, project delay, methodology, construction process, program, construction project, mitigation, literature review, strategy, survey, risk identification
Subjects: modelling and simulation, data analysis and analytics, financial and cost management, analytical methods, data collection methods, risk assessment, project controls, building construction, decision-making and optimization, industry analysis, environmental hazards, management, theoretical framing, software systems, research methods, production management, Geography, financial risk, design process
Topics: Site Management, Time Control, Design Practice, Digital Applications, Risk Management, Sustainability, Business Strategy, Cost Management, Project Management, Geographical Context, Research Practice, Engineering Principles
Descriptive scope: 5 PCTEA

N.B. Descriptive scope is a count of how many of the five facets of empirical research are indicated by the words used in title, abstract and keywords. It is not intended as a judgement on the research; merely a count of the kind of word we would expect to indicate Phenomenon, Concepts, Theoretical framing, Empirical techniques, Analytical techniques. If all five are present, then a code of “5 PCTEA” will indicate this. If you feel the coding for this record is questionable, we welcome discussion around the terms we matched or the way we categorized them. The facet you would expect may not be coded, or a facet may be coded inappropriately. This can also bear on a larger question, of which facets should be treated as defining in construction management research. Please get in touch, and we will look at it. More details here