Macroeconomic fluctuations and event centres' return dynamics in akure commercial property market, Nigeria

Ezeokoli, N B; Komolafe, T B and Olukolajo, M A (2019) Macroeconomic fluctuations and event centres' return dynamics in akure commercial property market, Nigeria. African Journal of Built Environment Research, 3(1), pp. 29-40. ISSN 2414-0236

Abstract

This study explores the influence of selected macroeconomic variables on event centre return as an investment property in Akure between the period of 2005 and 2014. As at the time of this research, there are 24 event centres situated at various locations in Akure. Twenty-four well-structured questionnaires were administered on the managers of event centres in Akure, out of which 18 were appropriately filled and returned, and analyaed using econometric analysis (multiple regression models). The result of the coefficient of determination (R2) establishes that the considered macroeconomic variables account for 98% of the variation in event centres' return. However, the regression coefficient reveals that inflation rate and exchange rate have significant effects on event centres returns with p-values of 0.019 and 0.043 respectively. A unit change in these variables will result in 70% and 21% changes in the event centre's return respectively. While there is an inverse relationship between event centre returns and rate, it shows a direct relationship with the exchange rate. This study concludes that the Nigerian macro-economy influences the return of her specialized real estate investment with trading potentials as shown through the findings of this research. It is therefore recommended that Government should ensure that the macroeconomic variables are monitored so as to ensure stability in property construction, sales and rental price, as these can influence the performance of property market as well as the nation's economy.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: event centres; fluctuations; macroeconomics; Nigeria; questionnaire survey
Index terms: real estate investment, survey, Nigeria, property market, stability, manager, multiple regression model, macroeconomic variable, macroeconomics, event centre, investment property, econometric, questionnaire, commercial property, inflation, variation, dynamics
Subjects: economic theory, systems engineering, statistical analysis, structural engineering, contractual condition, Geography, real estate economics, economic analysis, data collection methods, construction type, practitioner
Topics: Urban Studies, Contract Administration, Research Practice, Geographical Context, Engineering Principles, Business Strategy, Procurement, Construction Technology, Roles and Professions
Descriptive scope: 5 PCTEA

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