Synchronicity of global construction cost indexes

Zhang, R; Xing, J; Ye, K; Lu, W and Shan, Y (2019) Synchronicity of global construction cost indexes. Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management, 26(3), pp. 367-385. ISSN 0969-9988

Abstract

Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to examine the features and tendency of cost indices in the global construction setting. Design/methodology/approach: Data from 22 countries/regions are collected and analyzed using maximum variance formulation and Kendall rank correlation coefficient. Findings: It is found that global construction cost indexes (CCIs) have commonly maintained a steady increase for decades, and the CCIs synchronize with each other. Overall synchronicity and synchronicity of different countries pairs have increased with time significantly. Research limitations/implications: The major limitation, however, is the availability of data: only 22 regions/countries are examined, the distribution of these regions/countries is imbalanced between different continents and various indices are adopted around the world, of which statistical methods are not same. Practical implications: The implication is that a better perception of CCIs enables contractors to have a robust estimation for bidding prices and to improve the efficiency of construction projects management. The research findings also provide a useful reference for those countries that have not established construction cost indices databases to forecast the tendency of domestic construction industries. Originality/value: This paper contributes to the overall body of knowledge by presenting the co-movement of global CCIs and measuring the changes of CCI synchronicity with time and in different countries pairs.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: bidding; competitiveness; construction; construction cost index; estimating; international practice; synchronicity; vibration
Index terms: movement, body of knowledge, international practice, vibration, estimating, bidding, methodology, construction project, construction cost index, construction cost, database, cost index, domestic construction, estimation, efficiency, variance, global construction, competitiveness, statistical method
Subjects: economic analysis, financial and cost management, knowledge management, bidding, cost indicators, health behaviours and lifestyles, mechanical systems, construction type, strategic management, statistical analysis, measurement and scaling, data management, market analysis, production management, performance management, research methods
Topics: Digital Applications, Design Practice, International Construction, Quality Management, Business Strategy, Cost Management, Engineering Principles, Information Management, Project Management, Research Practice, Procurement, Construction Technology
Descriptive scope: 4 PCTA

N.B. Descriptive scope is a count of how many of the five facets of empirical research are indicated by the words used in title, abstract and keywords. It is not intended as a judgement on the research; merely a count of the kind of word we would expect to indicate Phenomenon, Concepts, Theoretical framing, Empirical techniques, Analytical techniques. If all five are present, then a code of “5 PCTEA” will indicate this. If you feel the coding for this record is questionable, we welcome discussion around the terms we matched or the way we categorized them. The facet you would expect may not be coded, or a facet may be coded inappropriately. This can also bear on a larger question, of which facets should be treated as defining in construction management research. Please get in touch, and we will look at it. More details here